VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE AS EXPECTED POVERTY: THE CASE OF THUA THIEN HUE PROVINCE

Authors

  • Bùi Dũng Thể Phòng Khoa học-Công nghệ, Hợp tác quốc tế và Đào tạo sau đại học -Trường Đại học Kinh tế
  • Bùi Đức Tính

Abstract

This paper presents the result of the study to measure the household’s vulnerability to climate change in Thua Thien Hue province by employing the econometric approach of vulnerability as expected poverty. This method is based on the assumption that a given shock will move household income below poverty line or become vulnerability. The household questionnaire survey, in-depth interview and focus group discussion were used in this study. The result reveals that households living in Thua Thien Hue province are vulnerable to climate change, particularly for households living in upland region and coastal area. Their vulnerability is highly sensitive to their daily income (poverty line). With a US$ poverty line, there are 12.6% of households are vulnerability to climate change. However, up to 52.3% of households are vulnerability when the poverty line increases to US$1.5. Based on the preliminary findings, climate change policies should focus on measures to improve households’ livelihoods as well as disaster impact prevention and mitigation measures at household level which will help to enhance households’ resilience to climate change.

Keywords: climate change, vulnerability, expected poverty, Thua Thien Hue.

References

. Adger, W. N., Social vulnerability to climate change and extremes in coastal Vietnam, World Development 27(2), (1999), 249–269.

. Ahmed A. and R. Shibasaki, Climate Changes and Agricultural Production of Bangladesh: an Impact Assessment Using GIS-Based Biophysical Crop simulation Model, Center for Spatial Information Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 2000.

. Arief Anshory Yusuf and Francisco Herminia A., Hotspots! Mapping Climate Change Vulnerability in Southeast Asia, Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA), 2010.

. Chaudhuri, S., J. Jalan, and A. Suryahadi., Assessing household vulnerability to poverty: A methodology and estimates for Indonesia. Department of Economics Discussion Paper 0102-52. New York: Columbia University, 2002.

. CCFSC (Central Committee for Flood and Storm Control), Introduction about Disasters in Vietnam, Available at http://www.ccfsc.org.vn/DMU_En/Disaster+M-anagement/Charateristics/General+information+on+natural+disasters+in+Viet+Nam.htm, 2008.

. Hoddinott, J., and A. Quisumbing., Methods for microeconometric risk and vulnerability assessments, Social Protection Discussion Paper Series 0324. Washington, DC: The World Bank, Human Development Network, 2003.

. Kaly, U., and C. Pratt., Environmental vulnerability index: Development and provisional indices and profiles for Fiji, Samoa, Tuvalu and Vanuatu, Phase II report for NZODA. SOPAC Technical Report 306, 2000.

. McCarthy, J.J., O.F. Canziani Neil, A.L. David, J.D. Kasey and S. White, Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2001.

. Temesgen, D., R.M. Hassan and Claudia Ringler, Measuing Ethiopian Farmers’ Vulnerability to Climate Change Across Regional States, Internatonal Food Policy Research Institute. IFPRI – Wide Discussion Paper series, 2008.

Published

2013-05-01